Phil 411 – Theories of Decision

Reading Schedule

The following reading schedule will be amended as the semester progresses. All page numbers refer to Martin Peterson, Introduction to Decision Theory, 2nd Ed. All other readings can be accessed by following the hyperlinks.
Day Date Topic Reading 
Tuesday 23-Jan Introduction
Thursday 25-Jan 1.1 Setup pp 1-40 (Ch 1-2)
Tuesday 30-Jan 1.2 Decisions Under Ignorance pp. 41-64 (Ch 3)
Thursday 1-Feb 1.3 Decisions Under Risk pp. 65-79 (Ch 4.1-4.3)
Tuesday 6-Feb 1.4 Utility pp. 97-123 (Ch 5)
Thursday 8-Feb 1.4 Utility pp. 97-123 (Ch 5)
Tuesday 13-Feb 1.5 Paradoxes and Problems pp. 80-96 (Ch 4.4-4.8)
Thursday 15-Feb 1.6 Mathematics of Probability

1.7 Philosophy of Probability

pp. 124-140 (Ch 6)

pp. 141-173 (Ch 7)

Tuesday 20-Feb 1.6 Mathematics of Probability

1.7 Philosophy of Probability

pp. 124-140 (Ch 6)

pp. 141-173 (Ch 7)

Thursday 22-Feb 1.8 Causal vs. Evidential Decision Theory pp. 206-219 (Ch 9); Egan, "Some Counterexamples to Causal Decision Theory"
Tuesday 27-Feb 1.8 Causal vs. Evidential Decision Theory pp. 206-219 (Ch 9); Egan, "Some Counterexamples to Causal Decision Theory"
Thursday 1-Mar 1.10 Application: Deciding to Have a Child Paul, "What You Can't Expect When You're Expecting"
Tuesday 6-Mar 1.11 Application: Religious Belief and Exam Review Pascal, excerpt from Pensees
Thursday 8-Mar MIDTERM EXAM EXAM
Tuesday 13-Mar SPRING BREAK
Thursday 15-Mar SPRING BREAK
Tuesday 20-Mar 2.1 Zero Sum Games (Part 1) pp. 234-262 (Ch 11)
Thursday 22-Mar 2.1 Zero Sum Games (Part 2) pp. 234-262 (Ch 11)
Tuesday 27-Mar 2.2 Nonzero-Sum Games pp. 263-273 (Ch 12.1-12.3); Lewis "Prisoner's Dilemma is a Newcomb Problem"
Thursday 29-Mar 2.3 Iterated & Extensive Games pp. 274-278 (Ch 12.4)
Tuesday 3-Apr 2.4 Cooperative and Bargaining Games pp. 279-283 (Ch 12.4-12.6)
Thursday 5-Apr 2.5 Application: Morality Gauthier, "Why Contractarianism?"; Smith, "Deriving Morality from Rationality"
Tuesday 10-Apr 2.5 Application: Morality Gauthier, "Why Contractarianism?"; Smith, "Deriving Morality from Rationality"
Thursday 12-Apr 2.6 Application: Convention Lewis, Convention - Chapter 1
Tuesday 17-Apr 2.6 Application: Convention Lewis, Convention - Chapter 2
Thursday 19-Apr 2.6 Application: Convention  Lewis, Convention - Chapter 4
Tuesday 24-Apr 3.1 Cognitive Biases Intro to Cognitive Biases; No New Reading
Thursday 26-Apr  3.1 Cognitive Biases Thaler and Sunstein, Nudge - Chapter 1
Tuesday 1-May  3.1 Cognitive Biases Thaler and Sunstein, Nudge - Chapters 4-5
Thursday 3-May Final Exam Review
FINAL EXAM DATE 10-May FINAL EXAM 1:30 pm – 4:15 pm